Empty Days

Thursday, April 01, 2004



Iraq - insider view

Excellent post over at Collounsbury (Financial guy in Iraq). Excerpt:
Worse, however, as the author above suggests, and as an article I quote below (from a pro-war observer) suggests, the current Administration has no clue as to how to go forward. None whatsoever. Policy is at present driven by short-term political expediancy and is incoherent. It is failure in the making.
And this is his closing commentary but the whole article contains much more and is far more to the point than most of the speculative stuff we usually get on the subject:
The problem is there is no sign that this Administration has truly grappled with the changes necessary to change direction and save themselves from a Vietnam like disaster, that is a disaster created not by military inadequacy but a fundamentally flawed vision of the political and social landscape upon which they are trying to write down their macro-political theory into reality. This utter lack of comprehension of the real driving forces, the strange incoherence which seems to stem from cognitive dissonance between their theoretical structures and the reality.... it is the recipe for a mini-Vietnam for the political framework in which they are trying to operate in Iraq is a failure and always will be.
By the way - this is a man who is in danger of his life, given what happens to contractors and civilian westerners in Iraq these days. Check it out.

***

Actually, here's another post of his, on the day of the massacre in Fallujah (and more about it on his blog):
I watched the fairly graphic video of the murder of the presumed American civilians in or around Falluja. It was disturbing. As disturbing was the fact that my maid, an Iraqi Shiite was clearly happy.

Well, I warned a year ago that invading Iraq in the circumstances which the US set up for itself was opening Pandora's box. The cycle of rage and revenge I think is not breakable now - not with US troops at least. I have a hard time seeing a way out of this, ever harder. Regardless, recall I noted the oreintation for staff heading in- country.
Is that groundless pessimism? Or perhaps the optimism of the arm-chair pundits back home is groundless? Goddam know-it-all's.





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